Basics
How to

If you've heard of Polymarket or Kalshi, you already know prediction markets let you trade on real-world outcomes. But here's something most beginners don't realise: not all prediction markets work the same way under the hood.
The model a platform uses affects everything — how fast your trade executes, whether it fills at all, and how simple the experience is. There are two main models: Order Book and CPMM. Here's what each one means for you as a trader.
Order Book Model (Polymarket, Kalshi)
This is how most traditional prediction markets work. Your trade gets matched with another user taking the opposite side — similar to buying stocks on an exchange.
How it works:
You want to take a YES position at $0.60
Someone else wants to sell YES at $0.60
The platform matches you both and the trade goes through
✅ Great for high-volume markets with lots of traders
✅ Tight spreads when liquidity is deep
❌ On smaller or niche markets, you might wait for someone to match you
❌ Orders can go unfilled if no one takes the other side
❌ Beginners can find order types (market orders, limit orders) confusing
CPMM Model (Maiga Markets)
CPMM stands for Constant Product Market Maker — the same technology that powers DeFi platforms like Uniswap, applied to prediction markets.
Instead of matching users, a smart contract pool automatically provides liquidity. You’re always trading against the pool.
How it works:
You want to take a YES position
The pool instantly quotes you a price based on current pool ratios
You confirm and your trade executes immediately — no waiting, no matching
As more people take YES positions, the price automatically adjusts
✅ Instant execution — no waiting, no failed orders
✅ Always liquid — the pool is always available, even for niche markets
✅ You always see your exact payout before confirming
✅ No complex order types — just pick your side and confirm
❌ On smaller markets, spreads can be slightly wider than a deep order book
Which Model is Better for Beginners?
Order books work well when there's high liquidity and you're comfortable with trading mechanics. But for most everyday traders — especially those new to prediction markets — CPMM wins. No order confusion, no failed trades, no waiting. You see exactly what you'll get before you confirm.
Where Does Maiga Markets Fit?
Maiga Markets runs on CPMM — built specifically for Asia and Southeast Asia, where traders want fast, simple, and beginner-friendly. No orderbook complexity, no waiting for counterparties. Just pick your side, see your payout, and confirm.
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